Modeling plant diseases under climate change: evolutionary perspectives release_tw6zlon75fhhrdv4cyomww4qaq

by Li-Na Yang, Maozhi Ren, Jiasui Zhan

Published in Trends in Plant Science by Elsevier BV.

2022  

Abstract

Infectious plant diseases are a major threat to global agricultural productivity, economic development, and ecological integrity. There is widespread concern that these social and natural disasters caused by infectious plant diseases may escalate with climate change and computer modeling offers a unique opportunity to address this concern. Here, we analyze the intrinsic problems associated with current modeling strategies and highlight the need to integrate evolutionary principles into polytrophic, eco-evolutionary frameworks to improve predictions. We particularly discuss how evolutionary shifts in functional trade-offs, relative adaptability between plants and pathogens, ecosystems, and climate preferences induced by climate change may feedback to future plant disease epidemics and how technological advances can facilitate the generation and integration of this relevant knowledge for better modeling predictions.
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Date   2022-12-31
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